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Thursday, June 17, 2010

Global Cooling: Threat or Menace?

Cosmic Conservative has a post asking "What's wrong with the Sun?" I commented:

We may get a new Ice Age, but the ninnies won’t shut it. They’ve already switched from predicting a new Ice Age, in the mid-1970s, to predicting Global Warming, without even reducing the volume. In some amusing cases like Stephen Schneider, it’s the exact same people. (Schneider co-authored a paper that debunked the idea that CO2 could cause enough warming to prevent global cooling. But he was one of the first to jump on the CO2-warming bandwagon.)

The only thing that will slow them down is that the Global Cooling script is typewritten, and not machine-readable. If they had any shame, they wouldn’t be who they are.

Back in late 1988 or early 1989, I posted a prediction on the Science forum of the Channel 1 BBS in Cambridge, Massachusetts. (Pre-internet, we had computer BBSes then.) The prediction was that the switch back to panicked predictions of global cooling would happen in 2008.

It's taking longer than that, so my prediction isn't a home run. It isn't a strikeout, either. And there's some evidence that the people pushing the global warming scare never expected it to last this long, either. Scroll down a few posts and consider the FAR/AR4 problem.

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